CONTENT :

I.
 

A.

B.
II.
 
 
A.
B.
C.
III.

CURRENT STAGES

  OF DEVELOPMENT
B.
C.
D.
IV.

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garuda
Ambassador of The Republic of Indonesia
Abu Dhabi - UAE
I. INTRODUCTION
  A. Indonesia in a Nutshell
   

Indonesia is a chain of 17,508 islands, of which only about 6,000 are inhabited. Strategically, this largest archipelago in the world lies between the Australian and Asian continental mainland and dividing the Pacific and Indian Oceans. The total area of Indonesia 8,169.465 sq km, with land area of 1,890,386 sq km and sea 6,279.079 sq km. It means that seas and oceans comprise 81 percent of the total area of Indonesia.
Java-Sumatra Strait
Five main islands and 30 smaller archipelagos are home to the majority of the population. The main islands are Kalimantan (743,330 sq km), Sumatera (473,606 sq km), Irian Jaya (421,981 sq km), Sulawesi (189,216 sq km), and Java (132,187 sq km). Java, which is one and a half size of UAE, is occupied by 60 percent of the country's population. Indonesia shares Irian Jaya with Papua New Guinea and two thirds of the island of Kalimantan with Malaysia and Brunei Darussalam.

Indonesia is the world’s largest Muslim population but is also home to the second largest Buddhist temple in the world – Borobudur in Central Java. Almost 90% of Indonesians are Muslims. There is a Christian minority in most provinces, and in a few regions such as East Nusa Tenggara, North Sumatera and North Sulawesi, Christians are the majority. In Bali over 85% of people are Hindus and there is a small Hindu minority in Central and East Java. About 2 million Indonesians, mostly people of Chinese descent, are Buddhists. Most Indonesians are very tolerant of different religions, and many people actually observe celebrations from more than one religious tradition.

Indonesia, the biggest economy in South East Asia, has GDP of USD 364 billion with current GDP percapita above USD 2,000. The economy is expected to grow above 6.0 % this year. And despite the rise of oil price and the weakening of US Dollar, the economy grew by 6.2 % during the first semester, above the government prediction of 6.1 %. According to the IMFs’ report, Indonesia’s economy would continue to benefit from soaring commodity prices and the macroeconomic fundamentals would remain healthy as long as the government maintained fiscal sustainability. The Indonesia’s Bureau of Statistic (BPS), recorded that the country’s first quarter exports grow by 31.7 %, boosted by the soaring price of oil and gas. Interestingly, amid the increase of petrol price, car sales during the first semester rose by 48.2 % and it is expected about 520,000 cars will be sold by the end of this year. The Nielson Global Online Consumer Confidence and Opinion Survey, noted that Indonesians are the world’s second most confident after Norway about the economic prospect in the next 12 months.

Politically, Indonesia - the third biggest democracy in the world- has been relatively very stable. Greg Sheridan, in his article published by The Australian in 31 May, said: “probably the most successful country in the world in combating radical Islamist terrorist is Indonesia. More than 400 Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) terrorists and supporters have been arrested, and these arrests have all resulted in transparent legal proceedings with a very high conviction rate”. Indeed, according to the Global Peace Index (GPI) 2008, Indonesia belongs to the more peaceful nations in the world and ranked 68 out of 140 countries surveyed, while the US which spent USD 481 billion on its defence budget ranked 97, Russia 131 while UAE is much better place on 42.

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  B. Population Density in Java and Sumatera
   
The total population of Indonesia is 245,452,739 (July 2007 est.). Java and Madura are the most densely populated areas. The total population of Java and neighboring Madura in 2007 is around 145 million. With a population density of nearly 2,485 persons per square mile (960 per km2), Java is perhaps the most crowded area of its size on earth. Almost 60 % of Indonesian population live in Java, while around 40 % live in Sumatera and other islands. For comparison, the area of UAE is 2/3 of Java and the population is only 3.8 % of those in Java.

Java has several important seaports, and major cities are linked by road, rail, and air. Every piece of land fits for cultivation and is intensively farmed; rice is grown on terraced hillsides. Other agricultural products are sugar, coffee, tea, rubber, cocoa, corn, cassava, soybeans, and yams. Teak is an important lumber product and petroleum is the leading mineral resource.

Sumatera, the sixth largest island in the world, has an area of 163,557 square miles (423,611 km2) and is about 1,050 miles (1,690 km) long and up to 250 miles (400 km) wide. Sumatera has a population of about 47 million. Major cities include Medan, Palembang and Padang. Most Sumaterans live by farming, growing foods, such as rice, corn, and root crops, and a few cash crops, notably rubber and spices, on small plots. Estate agriculture has declined since Indonesian independence but nevertheless remains important, yielding rubber, tobacco, coffee, tea, and palm kernels for export. Sumatera has rich oil fields, and the extraction and refining of petroleum is the island's leading industry. There are also some coal mining and some manufacturing of light consumer goods.

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II WHY JAVA - SUMATERA SUPER BRIDGE
 

Indonesia has been long criticed, especially under the New Order government, for moving their people from crowded islands of Java and Bali to Sumatera, Papua and Sulawesi under the transmigration program. Human rights activists claimed that the program has endangered the lives of the indigenous people, despite the fact that the practice had been done by the Dutch colonialist for centuries.

Now Indonesia ceases the program and encourages more voluntary migration. This is not an easy job, but the government believes that one of the solutions is building a super bridge which connects the two most dynamic islands, Java and Sumatera. If happened it would be the world's longest suspension bridge across Sunda Strait, passing about 50 kilometres from the active Krakatau volcano, traversing 29 km length.

The Java–Sumatera Super Bridge is needed because the traffic across the two islands is so very high that current ferry transport system will not be able to meet the growing demand. In 2002, more than 19,000 ton of goods from Sumatera Island are transported to Java Island through Lampung Province per day. Besides, more than 25,000 people and 6,000 vehicles per day such as truck, bus, private cars and motorbike pass Sunda Strait. During the Eidul Fitr holiday, the number could increase sharply to about 85,000 people and 11,500 vehicles.

traffic_1 traffic_b traffic_d
traffic_c traffic_e
Traffic Jam in Merak on September 2007

The bridge would significantly cut the travel time between the Islands from around 3 hours to about 30 minutes only. Some 20 million people crossed the strait in 2006 and the figure is forecast to double by 2020. It would relieve mounting pressure on Java, home to 145 million people. With the new bridge, the equity of growth of population between the two islands could be achieved.

The suspension bridge will have six lanes for vehicles and two railway tracks. The bridge will be raised 70 meters above the surface of the sea and will span 29 kilometers over three small islands: Prajurit, Ular, and Sangiang.

If completed, as many as 160,000 vehicles (maximum) per day expected to use the bridge. The bridge would also be able to alleviate chronic traffic congestion at the strait as well as significantly cut the journey time, and not to mention the economic benefits arised from those activities.

bridge_1 bridge2
bridge_3 bridge_4

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  A. Economic & Socio- Cultural Benefits
   
The economic benefit of constructing the Java-Sumatera Super Bridge will be eminent. The project had been fully supported by the central government as well as the governors of Sumatera and Java. It is predicted that around 70 % of the nation’s economic activity is located in these two dynamic islands and once they are connected, the economic booming will become a reality.

Sumatera is rich of natural resources, from oil, gas and coal, agriculture to mining, while Java could provide with human resources as well as the best system infrastructure in the country. A toll road connecting Lampung Province and Medan, the development of industrial as well as tourist sites will undoubtedly engineer rapid economic development in Sumatera & Java.

There are about 9.43 million people unemployed in Indonesia now in addition the 2.5 million of new unemployment every year. Indonesia needs to grow to at least 6 % annually to absorb the new unemployment. Java-Sumatera Super Bridge is aimed at accelerating the growth by attracting more investment, providing employment as well as creating other multiplier effects to other sectors. The more prosperous Indonesians are believed to be able to support a more democratic institutions and drive younger generation away from negative behaviours such as extremism and radicalism.

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  B. Return of Investment
   

Revenue is collected from toll charges on about 160.000 motor vehicles/ bus and trucks, that pass the bridge every day. The amount of toll fare being proposed is as following: USD 90 for large trucks/buses, USD 65 light trucks/buses, USD 25 for passenger cars, with an escalation rate of 3% per year. Income from railway traffic is calculated conservatively as equivalent to the income from one traffic lane per track. Income from renting the bridge USD 50 million per year, with the assumption of the escalation rate 3% per year, and revenue from other facilities USD 50 million per year, with the assumption of the escalation rate 3% per year. It is estimated that the return of investment could be achieved in the 27 years.

Investors may also be offered to further invest in other areas of business. Both the governments of Lampung and Banten Provinces are drawing more projects especially in tourism, agribusiness and the Sumatera toll road which would become part of Asian highway. It is believed that the building of the Java-Sumatera Super Bridge will encourage tourism and other related industries in the islands which has not been cultivated so far.

lampungplan

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  C. Technical Feasibility
   
The Java-Sumatera Super Bridge is to have boasted the longest single suspension span in the world. The evolution of suspension bridge technology, reflected by the increasing span lengths, is manifested in three successive generations, the third of which involving the latest advanced technology, capable of achieving ultra long spans. The third generation suspension bridges, applying a multi-box deck concept, are characterized by their cost effectiveness due to their light self-weight, extremely low flutter sensitivity associated with very high critical wind speeds and good seismic performance. It is therefore important that this third generation suspension bridge technology be adopted for crossing the wide and deep sea valleys of the Sunda Strait.

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III. CURRENT STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT
  A. Feasibility Study
   

A pre-feasibility study will be completed by 2009. It will take three more years to conduct the feasibility study before the construction process that will begin in 2012. The entire project is expected to be completed in 2025.
As the bridge is located in the Sunda Strait, which is prone to earthquakes and tsunamis, its construction would include four important phases involving hydrographic, oceanographic, geologic, seismological, climatological and environmental aspects.
Experts said the bridge was technologically feasible, but extensive and expensive safety measures would be essential to withstand earthquakes. Several quakes measuring more than seven on the Richter scale have struck waters of Sumatera and a stronger quake caused a massive tsunami of the west coast in 2004.
According to senior design consultant, Prof. Dr. Wiratman Wangsadinata, flexible construction materials would be used to protect the bridge against earthquakes of up to nine magnitudes based on the planned Messina Strait Bridge in Italy.
Still according to PT Wiratman & Associates, the development of the Java-Sumatera Super Bridge is feasible based on:

  1. Cheaper than any other alternative, as proven from the study of Stretto in Messina, Italy;
  2. Faster return of investment;
  3. Absorbing many labors;
  4. Low risk of working accident;
  5. Cheaper operational and maintenance cost (than undersea tunnel);

At the moment the government is preparing a Presidential Decree which will assign the Ministry of Public Works to conduct further study about the feasibility of the projects taking into account the technical aspects and its economic benefits within one year. Once the study is completed, a national authority agency will be established to start materializing the project.

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  B. Grand Design
   

design

The suspension bridge will have six lanes for vehicles and two railway tracks (wide of bridge 60 m, 2 x 3 highway traffic lanes, double track of railway, 2 x 1 pedestrian path and emergency path). The bridge will be raised 70 meters above the surface of the sea and will span 29 kilometers over three small islands: Prajurit, Ular, and Sangiang.

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  C. Cost
   

It is estimated that the cost to construct the bridge would be around USD 10 billion, and the total operational cost USD 50 million / year which consist of operational, management, insurance, security, and income tax, with the assumption of the escalation rate 6% per year. The government will provide some 5 % of the total cost and the rest will be offered to investors.

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  D. Role of Investors
   
With the government’s limited budget, investors plays important role in this mega project. Investors are required to fund related projects such as DED (Detailed Engineering Design), Environmental Impact Assessment Study (AMDAL), and construction.

Investors may also be involved to support the network systems of road and train, and for the improvement of road according to the road network development plan in both islands.

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IV. CONCLUSION
 
  1. In conclusion, the development of the Java-Sumatera Super Bridge is feasible from the aspects of technology, financial and economic rationale. The bridge will connect the two most dynamic regions in Indonesia and will contribute to the advancement of the economic development in Indonesia.
  2. The role of investor is quite significant. It is a long term and a very high cost investment and therefore the government should offer prospective investor(s) with other benefits on schemes.
  3. The Java-Sumatera Super Bridge will bring multiplier effects to the Indonesian economy. Tourism industry, mining, agrobusiness, different types of services will benefit from this world class infrastructures.

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References :
1. Presentation by Prof. DR. Wiratman Wangsadinata
2. Presentation by Governor of Lampung
3. Presentation by PT BANGUNGRAHA SEJAHTERA MULIA
4. Department od Public Works of The Republic of Indonesia
5. CIA The World Factbook
6. UAE Year Book 2008
7. Indonesia Official Hand Book 2006
   
*) Paper presented before the Office of Information Affairs for Deputy PM of UAE, Abu Dhabi on July 21st, 2008
 

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